A recent California Department of Food and Agriculture (CDFA) report projects an approximate 6 percent increase in Navel orange production, estimating 80 million boxes, up from 78 million in 2024.
However, California Citrus Mutual (CCM)of Exeter, CA cautions that estimate could be affected by factors such as pests and shifting market dynamics.
CCM observes last season the CDFA estimated 78 million, and while this report is estimating 80 million. This estimate is similar to a year ago, but the trade association notes a number of factors have to be considers such as early season varieties, mid-season, late season. What happens with each of these seasonal varieties can affect the overal numbers.
Pressure from various pests could actually reduce total volume below the CDFA projection.
Traditionally, citrus exports accounted for roughly 30 percent of shipments, but since 2017–18, the export share has dropped to about 20 percent, with 80 percent remaining in the domestic market.
Citrus imports have risen 414 percent since 2000, adding further pressure on growers’ profitability.
Nearly all California Navels are sold fresh. Juice production remains a minor segment due to high production costs and lower juice prices. Fruit that does not meet fresh market grades often moves to juice.
*****
ALLEN LUND COMPANY, TRANSPORTATION BROKERS, LOOKING FOR REEFER CARRIERS: 1-800-404-5863.