El Niño’s impact is proving more severe than expected, even though the cultivated Peruvian blueberry area is 15% larger. according to Proarándanos, the Peruvian blueberry growers and exporters association.
The group has published its fifth export forecast, lowering the September estimate by 4.2%.
According to it latest forecast, Peru is expected to export about 366,000 tons of fresh blueberries in the 2026–27 season. That is 4.2% below the September estimate of 382,000 tons and 4.4% below the 383,000 tons exported in the previous season.
The forecast is based on information from producers and exporters as recent weeks confirm a downward trend, with a significant drop in export volumes despite approximately 15% more acres under production.
By the end of September , Peru had exported 136,000 tons, 18.7% more than the same period of the previous season (115,000 tons). However, this number can be deceptive.
From October through the end of the season, exports are expected to total 229,000 tons, 14.2% below the 268,000 tons recorded during the same period of the 2025–26 season.
The decline is more serious over the next eight weeks, with 108,000 tons projected. This is 48,000 tons less than the previous season (156,000 tons), representing a 31.2% decline.