Good Loadings Seen for WA Apples, Mexican Avocados

Good Loadings Seen for WA Apples, Mexican Avocados

img_65121Washington state apple shipments are expected to be down a little this season.  Meanwhile, Mexican avocado loadings to the U.S. are increasing.

A forecast of 132.9 million boxes of fresh apples has been made for the for 2016-17 shipping season, up 15 percent from last year’s 115 million box crop.  However, this is down 6 percent from 2014’s record 141.8 million boxes.
Reflecting a smaller crop, overall exports for the 2015-16 crop year were off about 30 percent from the record 2014-15 season.  Current season to date shipments through mid July were about 29.7 million cartons, down from 44.3 million cartons the same time in 2015.
Exports for both Canada and Mexico totaled 52 percent of all exports.  The top three U.S. apple export markets for 2015-16 were Mexico, Canada and India.  With the bigger 2016 Washington crop, this year should be a bounce-back season for Washington exports.
Yakima Valley apples – grossing about $5200 to Atlanta.
Avocado Shipments
Untimely rains in California resulted in avocado shipments being down on the summer crop.  Meanwhile,  the primary Mexican avocado shipments are yet to ramp up.
Through June, yearly volumes were running well ahead of last year’s pace, with 660 million pounds shipping during the three months of April, May and June alone, up from 549 million pounds in the same period the previous year.
However, in July and August, volumes fell 15 percent, from 378 million pounds in 2015 to 320 million pounds this year.  Shipments are expected to be approaching normal by November.
As of Sept. 14, primary Mexican avocado shipments were running two or three weeks behind last year’s crop, though volumes were ramping up in the first half of the month.   It is projected about 81.5 million pounds would ship in the first two weeks of September, down just slightly from the same period last year.

The summer California avocado shipments will likely wind up being just two-thirds the size of the preseason estimates, due to rains starting in mid-June, more than a month later than normal.

It still is likely be the first week of October before Mexican imports by the U.S. begin ramping up, with loadings moving into the 40 million to 45 million pound-per-week range.